Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.001251 0.001295 0.001339 0.001387 0.001439 0.001493 0.001553
2025-08-10 0.001175 0.001239 0.001305 0.001382 0.001466 0.001558 0.001665
2025-08-17 0.001112 0.001189 0.001272 0.001369 0.001480 0.001605 0.001757
2025-08-24 0.001060 0.001146 0.001240 0.001354 0.001487 0.001642 0.001837
2025-08-31 0.001038 0.001134 0.001241 0.001373 0.001533 0.001724 0.001975
2025-09-07 0.001011 0.001114 0.001231 0.001377 0.001559 0.001782 0.002086
2025-09-14 0.000979 0.001085 0.001209 0.001365 0.001563 0.001812 0.002160
2025-09-21 0.000948 0.001057 0.001184 0.001349 0.001560 0.001830 0.002218
2025-09-28 0.000923 0.001035 0.001167 0.001339 0.001563 0.001857 0.002290
2025-10-05 0.000886 0.000996 0.001127 0.001299 0.001525 0.001825 0.002274
2025-10-12 0.000866 0.000977 0.001112 0.001289 0.001526 0.001845 0.002336
2025-10-19 0.000852 0.000966 0.001104 0.001290 0.001541 0.001885 0.002428
2025-10-26 0.000834 0.000949 0.001090 0.001281 0.001542 0.001906 0.002496
2025-11-02 0.000824 0.000942 0.001088 0.001288 0.001566 0.001963 0.002626
2025-11-09 0.000809 0.000928 0.001077 0.001282 0.001572 0.001991 0.002711
2025-11-16 0.000792 0.000912 0.001062 0.001271 0.001569 0.002007 0.002776
2025-11-23 0.000789 0.000913 0.001069 0.001290 0.001609 0.002091 0.002970
2025-11-30 0.000780 0.000906 0.001066 0.001294 0.001629 0.002144 0.003113
2025-12-07 0.000766 0.000892 0.001053 0.001283 0.001625 0.002159 0.003187
2025-12-14 0.000751 0.000876 0.001037 0.001268 0.001615 0.002161 0.003235
2025-12-21 0.000739 0.000864 0.001026 0.001260 0.001613 0.002178 0.003314
2025-12-28 0.000717 0.000839 0.000996 0.001224 0.001568 0.002119 0.003230
2026-01-04 0.000707 0.000828 0.000985 0.001215 0.001565 0.002132 0.003298